“It’s only a matter of time before Chinese suppliers take over on Amazon. Who needs a middleman”
“China doesn’t need manufacturing any longer. They are going all in on credit cards and shopping malls”
And
so it goes. Self-proclaimed experts, trying to predict the future.
However, if anyone is qualified to make a prediction of the future state
of manufacturing in China, that would be me.
In
this article, I explain why, on one hand, China will remain a
manufacturing powerhouse – and on the other, why you shouldn’t worry
about your supplier stealing your market share.
I’ll
also show you why branding and marketing expertise is actually more
important than the product itself, in a world where manufacturing is
becoming increasingly accessible – even to the smallest business.
1. Production will remain in China, despite increasing costs
Chinese
suppliers are facing increased costs: Rising wages and rent hikes all
contribute to reduce the already slim, profit margins of the average
assembly manufacturer.
In
addition, the government is also becoming increasingly efficient in
collecting taxes. This is another ‘cost’ that some suppliers must start
to add into their pricing.
Some manufacturers have already left, for example, in Vietnam and Cambodia.
So
I guess this is it then. Game over. China is rapidly deinstruliaising
to focus on the “consumer market” and Chinaimportal.com is destined for
eternal obscurity.
Not so fast…
A
couple of years ago, the talk was all about how Chinese suppliers would
depart from the east coast and head in droves to the inland. That
didn’t happen.
Instead,
China’s East Coast grew into an even stronger manufacturing base.
Shenzhen is the brightest shining star, and has cemented its position as
the World’s center for manufacturing.
To me, that was rather expected. Shenzhen has today grown into an ecosystem that cannot be simply transplanted.
This
is where you have the logistics companies, the component manufacturers.
Increasingly, this is also where you find the manufacturing expertise
needed.
So, what’s the conclusion?
China
is losing out in some areas, but gaining in others. It’s not a
coincidence that China becomes the manufacturing hub it is today, while
Indonesia and India didn’t make that transition.
Things will change, though.
The future manufacturer in China is will mostly be ‘staffed’ by low cost production robots.
Inefficient
manufacturers will also disappear, and give more room to those that
embrace this change. That said, I don’t think that, for example, the
Wristwatch or LED industry will ever be dominated by a few large
producers. The future doesn’t necessarily favor corporations.
In
the medium to long run, China will lose its cost advantage entirely,
compared to the US, EU and Japan, due to cheap robotics, AI and 3D
printing. But that’s at least two or three decades away.
2. Manufacturing is becoming as accessible to Startups and Small Businesses, as Software development
Manufacturing
used to be something that required huge investments. It was certainly
nothing for college students considering, until just about a decade and
half ago.
Chinese suppliers are OEMs. Essentially, they are ‘Open Source Manufacturers’.
Chinese
suppliers don’t care who you are, or what you sort of background you
have. All they are interested in is your business. If you ask me, that’s
a great thing.
Basically, the Chinese OEM factory made manufacturing accessible. A bit like the PC or Mac back in the 90s.
Until
recently, international trade has been stuck in the past. Alibaba and
Global Sources took suppliers online, but that didn’t solve every
problem facing importers.
That
is about to change, though, as supply chains come digitally. An entire
ecosystem is coming into place, for companies of all sizes.
Today,
a product can get financing on Kickstarter. Then, a B2B provider comes
in with a program to secure the transaction with the supplier.
Once ready for shipment, just book a quality control online at Sofeast.com, and get a free shipping quote from Flexport – directly delivered to an Amazon FBA warehouse.
In the last few years, the entire supply chain has moved online, and this is just the beginning.
Product
compliance is also becoming a lot more manageable, thanks to new
services and devices that are set to drastically cut the cost to ensure compliance with relevant safety standards and labelling requirements.
Just buy a requirements list on ProductIP.com, and test your product for free using your Scio Pocket Molecular Sensor. The latter must be seen to be believed.
Soon, the days when you had to pay 500 dollars to test one fabric in one color belong to the past.
What’s next? Visiting the Global Sources Trade Show from your VR headset?
3. Importers will need to excel at branding and marketing to stay in business
As manufacturing becomes accessible to (almost) everyone, the market is becoming flooded with products.
The
core of every business is the product, or service, it sells. However, a
product is only as good as the marketing and sales processes that
supports it.
The future belongs to those businesses that can not only bring a product to market, but also master the art of product branding, customer service – and online marketing.
In fact, these skills are combined more important than the product itself.
This has been proven, by the failure of Chinese suppliers to break into western markets and cut out the importers.
Many
Chinese factory owners arrogantly assumed that they had the upper hand,
given their direct access to production. Why not just leave the
importers out in the cold and sell directly on Amazon?
They did, and for most it didn’t work out.
What makes a business successful in the OEM manufacturing game is irrelevant when selling on Amazon, and other B2C online channels.
Considering
that many suppliers struggle to respond to emails within a week, they
are nowhere near having the ability to last more than a month on Amazon.
That
said, the younger generation in China has a much better understanding
of branding, and the importance of solid customer service.
The
question is how much of an advantage they will have in the future,
given that they have better access to manufacturers than their American
and European competitors.
That
advantage is not negligible, but an understanding of the target market
has been always more important, than an understanding of the supplier
that makes the product. This holds true, regardless of where in the
world you do business.
If
anything, future competition will come from the ‘forced entrepreneur’ –
a byproduct of the large number of people being left behind by
automation and AI.
Source :Globalsource.com
0 comments:
Post a Comment